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80% probability that AUDUSD may trend upwards right now

We expect a $170 movement on AUDUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the Balance of Trade events in Australia release because the released value is < A$10B. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jun 01:30
07 Mar 00:30
07 Feb 00:30
06 Oct 00:30