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What to trade around Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -2

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Sep 01:30
09 Aug 01:30
12 Apr 01:30