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What to trade around United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -42. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Aug 23:01
23 Jun 23:01
19 May 23:01
22 Apr 02:10
21 Jan 00:01
21 Oct 23:01