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18 pip movement on NZDUSD expected

We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Australia GDP Growth Rate QoQ news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Mar 00:30
02 Sep 01:30
05 Jun 01:30