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66.67% probability that GBPUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we could see a $50 movement on GBPUSD within the next 2 hours. GBPUSD could trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < A$10.4B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Feb 00:30
02 Nov 00:30
07 Sep 01:30
08 Jun 01:30