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66.67% probability that NZDUSD may trend upwards right now

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > A$7.5B. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Oct 00:30
06 Jul 01:30
04 May 01:30
12 Jan 00:30