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Trade with an edge around todays Canada Unemployment Rate news event

We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Canada Unemployment Rate news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 5.9%. A price movement of 63 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jan 13:30
08 Sep 12:30
05 May 12:30
10 Mar 13:30
10 Feb 13:30