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Trade with an edge around todays Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 7.3%. A price movement of 36 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Mar 13:00
29 Sep 12:00
30 Aug 12:00
28 Jul 12:00
30 May 12:00
28 Apr 12:00