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Trade with an edge around todays Japan Inflation Rate YoY news event

We expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Japan Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 3%. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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20 Jul 23:30
22 Jun 23:30