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Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, EURUSD could experience an downwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this, and the trend could last 2 hours because the released value is < -0.5%. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Nov 07:00
20 Oct 06:00
22 Sep 06:00
18 Aug 06:00
21 Apr 06:00